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 91 
 on: April 26, 2010, 11:44:57 AM 
Started by Paul-London - Last post by jcompton-Orlando
I had to update the post above when I realized that Montreal would also finish 6-8 if RD finishes 6-8. It's getting very confusing.

Moral of the story: Paul, if both RD and Mexico lose this week, you should allow a few extra days before the playoffs so we have enough time to argue about just what the hell is supposed to happen.

 92 
 on: April 26, 2010, 11:17:10 AM 
Started by Paul-London - Last post by jcompton-Orlando
EFC East is pretty simple. If Frankfurt wins, they're the division champs. If Berlin wins and Frankfurt loses, Berlin is the division champs based on superior conference record.

Austria's situation is pretty amazing. They can finish with the division title and #2 seed, the #4 seed, or out of the playoffs entirely.

And, by the way, a hat tip to NY/NJ and Birmingham for staying in the race after I had thought they were dead meat. True, their small playoff hopes are as much due to Ohio's first-to-worst performance this year and the reluctance of Mexico and RD to decisively take care of business, but they've done their part late in the season.

Also pretty amazing is the way San Antonio has stayed on the Surge's heels, to the point that what looked like the league's most dominant squad can't clinch the division without this season-ending head-to-head contest for all the marbles.

 93 
 on: April 26, 2010, 11:08:03 AM 
Started by Paul-London - Last post by jcompton-Orlando
Okay, we'd better have another one of those exciting tiebreaker discussions, since the AFC #4 seed could get real weird if both Mexico and RD lose this week.

I am using the latest NFL protocols as a guide. This is my interpretation. If anybody else has a different view, or can find where our differing tiebreaking procedures are, let's hear it. http://www.nfl.com/standings/tiebreakingprocedures

If all five teams in the hunt finish 6-8 (BIR over MEX, NY over SAC, MON over RD), my read is that NY/NJ would be the wildcard.

Code:
Team    W/L    Div   Conf   H2H

NY 6-8    4-2    6-6   MON
BIR     6-8    3-3    5-7   MEX
MEX 6-8    3-4    5-6   NY
RD 6-8    2-5    5-6   NY, BIR
MON     6-8    3-4    5-6   RD, BIR

Quote
TO BREAK A TIE FOR THE WILD-CARD TEAM
Three or More Clubs

(Note: If two clubs remain tied after third or other clubs are eliminated, tie breaker reverts to step 1 of applicable two-club format.)

   1. Apply division tie breaker to eliminate all but the highest ranked club in each division prior to proceeding to step 2. The original seeding within a division upon application of the division tie breaker remains the same for all subsequent applications of the procedure that are necessary to identify the two Wild-Card participants.
   2. Head-to-head sweep. (Applicable only if one club has defeated each of the others or if one club has lost to each of the others.)

Step 1: Apply division tiebreaker to get down to one team per division. From this step, NY advances in the East because of its better divisional record. Montreal advances in the West because of its better record in games between the clubs (3-1 over Mexico and RD.)

Step 2: H2H. NY owns the H2H tiebreak over Montreal.

NY is the tiebreak winner.

If Mexico, RD, Montreal, and Birmingham finish 6-8 (BIR over MEX, SAC over NY, MON over RD), my read is that Birmingham would be the wildcard.

Step 1: Division tiebreaker sends Mexico ahead on common games: Mexico was 1-1 against the EFC opponents in common with Montreal (Rhein and Frankfurt) while Montreal was 0-2 against.
Step 2: H2H. Birmingham owns the H2H over Mexico.

Birmingham is the tiebreak winner.

If Mexico and RD both finish 7-7 (MEX over BIR, RD over MON), it will depend on strength of victory.

Quote
Two Clubs

   1. Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs).
   2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division.
   3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games.
   4. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
   5. Strength of victory.

Step 1. MEX and RD split their season series
Step 2. MEX and RD would both have a 3-4 divisional record
Step 3: MEX and RD have identical common-games records. Their schedules are virtually identical, and both lost their games against Frankfurt and Berlin.
Step 4: MEX and RD would both have a 6-5 conference record
Step 5: Strength of victory.

Based on the current net points figures available, it appears that RD would need a pretty massive blowout in order to overtake Mexico. So RD's best hope is to beat Montreal and see Birmingham beat Mexico. Birmingham has a shot at the playoffs, so they should be playing to win.

 94 
 on: April 26, 2010, 05:56:10 AM 
Started by Paul-London - Last post by Mario ADK
From what i can see from the stats Paris is much better than their record shows.
Not to make the playoffs would be disappointing for Austria but the inconsistency of both QBs speak for itself and would be to blame.

I am pleased with the best O-line in the league and like my D-lines run-stopping but the DBs are a huge concern.

Collins is as good - or even better - than Bongo so if i had money i would bet it on Paris, not Austria.


 95 
 on: April 26, 2010, 04:47:54 AM 
Started by Paul-London - Last post by Paul-London
AFC

AFC East

Orlando have won the AFC East, theres a huge outside chance to make the playoffs if NY or Birmingham win and Mex/Ral lose but its huge odds.  Orlando will have to settle for the #2 seed.

AFC West

Great job by San Antonio catching up with Sacramento, IF the Surge lose in Week 14 and the Riders win then the Riders get the AFC West crown and also the top seed.  Will Sacramento rest their starting QB who is probable ?  Huge game.

Sacramento have the easier game, at home against New York whereas San Antonio travel to Europe to face Rhein who are good at home.

The playoff race is exciting here.  The last playoff spot comes down to Raleigh or Mexico.  Mexico travel away to Birmingham (4-2 at home, Mex 1-5 on the road) and Raleigh are at home to Montreal.  Mex/Ral are 1-1 in games played between them, in the division they are both 5-5, conference Mexico have the slight edge.

EFC

EFC East

Close in the EFC East, Frankfurt are one game ahead of Berlin, if they lose and Berlin win they'll be tied on games played (1-1) and at the moment they are tied in conference games (7-3).  Frankfurt need to beat old foes London and Berlin travel to eractic Amsterdam.

EFC West

Exciting finish in the EFC, Scotland are one game ahead of Paris and one game behind Scotland  IF Scotland lost and Austria won then they are 1-1 head to head, it then goes to the conference record, the DarkKnights would win the EFC West because of a better conference record.

If Austria however lose then they are out of the playoffs as Paris (2-0) would have won both the head-to-head games.

Paris need to win to make the playoffs in what is the game of the week.

Austria are 3-3 on the road which is respectable, Paris 4-2 at home but have lost their last two games, Austria have won their last 3.

It all comes down to the Week 14 clash !

Injuries have really hurt the playoff teams.  Sacramento have lost WR Ronald Bellamy for a few weeks, the Claymores lost their best d-lineman, Tyler King who had 34 tackles and 12 sacks, a major injury means he'll miss the rest of the season.  Paris's leading rusher Loliko Bongo-Wanga is now out for a few weeks, will they turn to former starting HB Thunder Collins ? 

 96 
 on: April 22, 2010, 01:27:22 AM 
Started by jcompton-Orlando - Last post by Mario ADK
My QB Mauck is a fumble-maniac as well and it drives me nuts to see this.
He has got the ratings and skills to be a good QB but he funbles his way thru his life.

 Angry

 97 
 on: April 22, 2010, 01:23:31 AM 
Started by Paul-London - Last post by Mario ADK
EFC

1 Frankfurt 9-3
2 Scotland 8-4
3 Berlin 8-4
4 Paris 7-5
   Austria 7-5

Austria have beaten Barcelona twice so the Dragons are knocked out of the playoff race. The final playoff spot should come down to the Week 14 clash, Austria at Paris



yup, it will probably come down to this i suppose. I guess i will need two mor wins to make the playoffs.

 98 
 on: April 21, 2010, 09:11:58 AM 
Started by Paul-London - Last post by Paul-London
To be fair to your team youre superb at home - unbeaten but any games on the road not looking good - 1-5 record.

Big game coming up home against the Surge

 99 
 on: April 21, 2010, 06:26:22 AM 
Started by Paul-London - Last post by jcompton-Orlando
Anybody else see an epic fail coming to Orlando?

 100 
 on: April 21, 2010, 04:05:42 AM 
Started by Paul-London - Last post by Paul-London
AFC

1 Sacramento 10-2
2 Orlando 7-5
3 San Antonio 8-4
4 Mexico 6-6

   New York 5-7
   Montreal 5-7
   Raleigh-Durham 5-7

Very close race for the last playoff berth, Mexico have to keep on winning but they have their last two games on the road and are 1-4 this season. NY, Montreal and Raleigh just have to win their last two games.

EFC

1 Frankfurt 9-3
2 Scotland 8-4
3 Berlin 8-4
4 Paris 7-5
   Austria 7-5

Austria have beaten Barcelona twice so the Dragons are knocked out of the playoff race. The final playoff spot should come down to the Week 14 clash, Austria at Paris

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