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FWL Boards => FWL Articles => Topic started by: Marco_Frankfurt on April 10, 2006, 05:08:46 AM



Title: Who will play in the FWL Bowl ?
Post by: Marco_Frankfurt on April 10, 2006, 05:08:46 AM
Right now 4 playoff spots are decided:
AFC: NY and Montreal
EFC: Amsterdam and Austria

These are (most likely in the case of AUS) the division winners and usually they have a far better chance to play in the Bowl then the Wild Card teams. So I limit this poll to the 4 possible combinations of these top teams of the league.


Title: Re: Who will play in the FWL Bowl ?
Post by: Paul-London on April 10, 2006, 06:05:30 AM
Cant wait till the playoffs, should be good.  Can NY finally get that monkey off their back and reach the FWL Bowl ?  Will the great playoff team Montreal make it to another final ?  Will Amsterdam reach the FWL Bowl ?  Have we seen the last of Frankfurt or Ohio or can they make it ?  Can Birmingham with their injuries clinch a spot ?  Will the erractic Riders make it ? 


Title: Re: Who will play in the FWL Bowl ?
Post by: Mario ADK on April 11, 2006, 10:27:12 AM
i do not see my team in the big game. i simply do not see it.


Title: Re: Who will play in the FWL Bowl ?
Post by: Paul-London on April 11, 2006, 11:17:58 AM
Well your team are playing well at the moment, better than most of the regular season

A quick look at former top seeds....

Season 10

AFC - Sacramento - Won FWL Bowl X
EFC - Scotland - Lost EFC Championship

Season 11

AFC - Montreal - Won FWL Bowl XI
EFC - Scotland - Lost FWL Bowl XI

Season 12

AFC - San Antonio - Lost AFC Championship
EFC - Amsterdam - Lost FWL Bowl XII

Season 13

AFC - New York - Lost AFC Championship
EFC - Frankfurt - Won FWL Bowl XIII

Season 14

AFC - San Antonio - Lost Wildcard game
EFC - Austria - Lost EFC Championship


Title: Re: Who will play in the FWL Bowl ?
Post by: Mario ADK on April 12, 2006, 03:16:22 AM
so statistically spoken: to be on top after 14 rounds is not good at all - watch out, niki  ;D


Title: Re: Who will play in the FWL Bowl ?
Post by: Niki on April 12, 2006, 04:15:27 AM
so statistically spoken: to be on top after 14 rounds is not good at all

hm 3 out 5 being in the bowl is a bad stat in your eyes  ::) well if stats are right it is either me or Frankfurt that will be in bowl ;D sorry Mario  :-*


Title: Re: Who will play in the FWL Bowl ?
Post by: Paul-London on April 12, 2006, 04:24:08 AM
Well 9 out of 10 times the #1 seed advanced to the Championship game, 5 out of 10 times the FWL Bowl.  What isnt shown are the scores which in the case of Championship games are very very close.

Only last year neither top seed advanced to the FWL Bowl in the last 5 seasons.


Title: Re: Who will play in the FWL Bowl ?
Post by: Mario ADK on April 12, 2006, 05:18:08 AM

hm 3 out 5 being in the bowl is a bad stat in your eyes  ::) well if stats are right it is either me or Frankfurt that will be in bowl ;D sorry Mario  :-*

i was talking about the fact that only 3 times out of 10 such teams made it all the way.....


Title: Re: Who will play in the FWL Bowl ?
Post by: Niki on April 12, 2006, 06:49:30 AM
i was talking about the fact that only 3 times out of 10 such teams made it all the way.....

first if you put the american and the european #1 together, so the highest possible is 5 times out of 10! so looking at the way you look 3 out of 10 is not a bad idea.

looking at stat what the possibilities are to be in the bowl is 5 out of 10. but you have then still look at the american and the european teams to see what your possibilities are according to the last 5 years:

American 2 out of 5
European 3 out of 5

then teh funny detail is that the american teams won everytime when they made it to the bowl and the european teams only 1 out of three

so I have 60% possibility to make it to the bowl and if then I only have a 33.33% that I will win it, so according to the stats of the last 5 years I have a 20% to win the bowl

American: 40% to make it and when they make it and if they will win it. so total possibilty by stats for NY is 40%

but a 5 years period is to short to do thsi kind of calculations, I think you can only start doing it on a period of atleast 20 years.


Title: Re: Who will play in the FWL Bowl ?
Post by: Paul-London on April 12, 2006, 07:25:37 AM
First 9 seasons...

Season 1

AFC - Birmingham - Won FWL Bowl I
EFC - Scotland - Lost FWL Bowl I

Season 2

AFC - Birmingham - Lost AFC Championship
EFC - Frankfurt - Won FWL Bowl II

Season 3

AFC - Birmingham - Won FWL Bowl III
EFC - Rhein - Lost EFC Championship

Season 4

AFC - San Antonio - Lost Wildcard game
EFC - Rhein - Won FWL Bowl IV

Season 5

AFC - Ohio - Lost FWL Bowl V
EFC - Austria - Lost EFC Championship

Season 6

AFC - San Antonio - Lost FWL Bowl VI
EFC - Austria - Won FWL Bowl VI

Season 7

AFC - Sacramento - Lost AFC Championship
EFC - Rhein - Lost FWL Bowl VII

Season 8

AFC - Orlando - Lost FWL Bowl VIII
EFC - Barcelona - Lost EFC Championship

Season 9

AFC - Montreal - Won FWL Bowl IX
EFC - Barcelona - Lost FWL Bowl IX





Title: Re: Who will play in the FWL Bowl ?
Post by: Mario ADK on April 12, 2006, 08:15:57 AM
you are right, niki.

you defenitely seem to have more time during your daytime than i have to take a look at those things. ;D


Title: Re: Who will play in the FWL Bowl ?
Post by: Paul-London on April 12, 2006, 08:18:24 AM
So only 2 out of 14 seasons has a top ranked team in either conference failed to reach the FWL Bowl !