i was talking about the fact that only 3 times out of 10 such teams made it all the way.....
first if you put the american and the european #1 together, so the highest possible is 5 times out of 10! so looking at the way you look 3 out of 10 is not a bad idea.
looking at stat what the possibilities are to be in the bowl is 5 out of 10. but you have then still look at the american and the european teams to see what your possibilities are according to the last 5 years:
American 2 out of 5
European 3 out of 5
then teh funny detail is that the american teams won everytime when they made it to the bowl and the european teams only 1 out of three
so I have 60% possibility to make it to the bowl and if then I only have a 33.33% that I will win it, so according to the stats of the last 5 years I have a 20% to win the bowl
American: 40% to make it and when they make it and if they will win it. so total possibilty by stats for NY is 40%
but a 5 years period is to short to do thsi kind of calculations, I think you can only start doing it on a period of atleast 20 years.
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